What's the Y axis for the middle graph? Also only having 3 data points in such a brief window doesn't really say much. Finally the grouping metric of "won majority of presidential elections from 2000 to 2020" isn't clear and isn't necessarily reflexive of policy. A more appropriate metric might be the party of the governor or the majority parties of their chambers.
I agree with what you're saying though—3 points does not make a compelling statement. I also agree that a better metric probably exists than what was posted. I'd add on and would like to know what the error bands represent—standard error, confidence intervals, or something else?
That's the percentage of kids who've reported some kind of sexual violence.
Also only having 3 data points in such a brief window doesn’t really say much.
I disagree because it's not really just about these YRBS surveys, it's the whole pattern. When we consider how conservatives are the only ones voting in favor of child marriage, and how pundits and randos on the internet will defend teen pregnancy, even if it was just one survey that showed a difference between red and blue states that would just be confirmation of a pattern that's already pretty obvious, and we should seriously ask why their ideology leads to this kind of stuff, and how to remedy it. Even if it's just a 2% point increase, this means that hundreds of thousands of children could be saved from abuse if conservatism was less prevalent.
Finally the grouping metric of “won majority of presidential elections from 2000 to 2020” isn’t clear and isn’t necessarily reflexive of policy. A more appropriate metric might be the party of the governor or the majority parties of their chambers.
There's really no definitive metric for "red" vs. "blue" states, so while presidential election results will obviously reflect the politics of the people in that state, I do agree that it's not a thorough measure - but this same pattern holds even when using other measures of political affiliation.
I say this because I have some additional context here, as these graphs are part of an article I'm writing about the "pedocon" theory, and I can tell you that this same pattern shows up regardless of how we measure politics or CSA. Whether it's polling on how many people identify as Republicans vs. Democrats, or liberals vs. conservatives, or left-wing vs. right-wing, this correlation is still there. Looking at governor or chambers specifically could be an interesting addition, but I fully expect the same pattern to hold.
I would have expected the reported sexual abuse cases to be lower in conservative states. You know, because victims would feel more shame and danger so fewer of them would come forward and fewer would file police reports? Is the first graph measuring estimated abuse or reported abuse?
First graph is all reported child sexual abuse cases that were substantiated. You can see the full tables in the ACF website, and in 2021 specifically there were 59,328 CSA cases in the U.S. that were substantiated.
The percentage of kids who've officially reported sexual abuse actually seems to be decreasing considering not only the decrease you see in the graph (and it decreased further in 2022 to 59,044 cases), but also because in the Youth Risk Behavior Survey the percentage of teens who said they've experienced some kind of sexual violence increased from 9.7% in 2017 to 11% in 2021, and for rape specifically it went from 7.4% to 8.5%.
Ages ago I posted a meme to r/PoliticalCompassMemes about how Lauren Boebert was happy to become a grandma at 36 when her 17 year old son had a kid, which is obviously very weird and unhealthy. Like clockwork, a lot of 'AuthRight' flairs came to the comments to defend teen pregnancy. You can see the post here if you really want to have a look at the hellhole that is PCM: https://redd.it/11n2z00
Not that I disagree with your assessment, but this is just another kind of control - it's about having power over a person's body, while denying them the agency to stop you. Sexual abuse and rape are rarely driven by lust or desire; they come from a need to dominate, to manipulate, and to express total power over someone.
The kids in that photo are not the ones that will be working in factories at 12. She's just deeply uncharismatic to the point of being inhuman and kids respond to that .
You cannot say you care at all about education and not make sure students are being fucking fed.
I don't care what political dogma you subscribe to, feeding kids in school needs to be a priority period. Once that is fixed (and it should take no more than like a week to fix in my opinion), the US needs to also better regulate the quality of food provided in schools. On average it is atrocious in this country.
No, we couldn't possibly feed these children! They just need to pull themselves up by their bootstraps and get to work! Maybe then they'll be able to afford food! /s
Even a good sweatshop knows if you feed the children you get more labor return out of them. That's what I mean, you can spin this from whatever angle you want and the answer is always feed them.
Imagine being told that these two groups of faces are from people all in the same picture, and what that would tell you about the relationship between the two groups.
He's the one who started saying shit is weird. I'm all about the former Highschool coach and teacher bringing his unique approach to Republicans childish bullshit
Really have low expectations for how politicians look (although I think I might have a touch of racism against orange ones). What bothers me though is that she actually acts like a lizard person.
Remind me again which of the two parties in a quasi-democratic two party-only sham system actually represents labor over corporations.
For a second there, I thought this community was called "tribalism" then had to double check that it wasn't "neoliberalism".
The democrats give us just enough human decency to prevent us from waking up en masse and revolting and you libs to eat it up and start a change.org petition to canonize them.
Edit: I guess you tribalists need to see me say it: The Republicans are even worse!
The true test is how both of these shitbag parties treat POOR PEOPLE. Dems love LGBTQIA+ but continue to commit economic violence against the most marginalized group of all: the poor.
Ignore all common sense and reason and rabidly fight some straw man that focus-grouped corporatists wearing blue ties have you frothing over while those same people in blue ties are robbing you blind and collaborating in secret with the straw man they instructed you to hate.
Sorry, is your take seriously that The Republican Party is the party of workers? You think they represent labor? The party currently openly accepting bribes from corporations?
I think their point was the Dems might be better, but they're still unacceptable so we shouldn't celebrate the minor successes from them because it makes us complacent about the system.
I disagree, because incremental change is still positive change, and I remember what happened to LGBT people when I was young, and as bad as the Right is today, those incremental changes have made life significantly better. Not even the Dems supported gay people 30 years ago. Now it would be political suicide for a Dem not to wholeheartedly support things like protecting gay marriage. Just as an example.