Just read a sci fi short story about earth having triggered a bunch of disasters in order to rrid itself of humanity before we kill the planet. Fault lines shifting to cause tsunamis, the Yellowstone caldera blowing, bacteria mutations killing plant life.
By the end of it I was like huh, guess this is also fantasy.
Once again an article missusing the word supervulcano. This time, already failing the to tell, what they actually are.
For those interested, a vulcano is considered as a supervulcano, when it had an erruption with a vulcanic explosivity indwx of 8 at least once (meaning releasing at least 1000 cubic kilometer of vulcanic materials). There are no known supervulcanos in Italy
At least found a source there telling, that it has the potential for doing a VEI 8 eruption (Still doesn't make it a SV now). Though they are generally way more concerned about the local poplulation when smaller eruptions happen.
Dunno, I just get easily irritated by the sensationalism of supervulcanoes. A vulcano does not need to be "super" to pose great threats
We have no pathway to AGI yet. The “sparks of AGI” hype about LLMs is like trying to get to the Moon by building a bigger ladder.
Far better chance that someone in the Pentagon gets overconfident in the capabilities of unintelligent ML and hooks a glorified chatbot into NORAD and triggers another missile minuteman crisis that goes the wrong way this time because the order looks too confident to be a false positive.
My opinion is that the chance part falls into if AGI itself is possible. If that happens, it not only will leads to ASI (maybe even quickly), but that it will be misaligned no matter how prepared we are. Humans aren't very aligned within themselves, how can we expect a totally alien intelligence to be?
And btw, we are not prepared at all. AI safety is an inconvenience for AI companies, if it hasn't been completely shelved in lieu of profiting.